Is a heat pump worth it in Puyallup?
This one's marginal in Puyallup: it only clears if you stay long enough. $3,500 is what Puyallup would pay extra to go electric rather than replace the furnace and AC with the same again, once the $2,000 federal credit is applied. Puyallup's residents would see roughly $344 a year back in running costs, putting the payback around 10.2 years. It's a genuine toss-up here — Puyallup's numbers don't point clearly either way.
How cold Puyallup actually gets
Degree days tell the story here: Puyallup racks up 4867 heating degree days each year (base 65°F), and summers rarely ask much of an air conditioner, with 227 cooling degree days on the cooling side. 17.6°F is the figure equipment gets sized against here — the 99th-percentile cold snap, not an average day — with a record low of 12.2°F on file. Worked through the model, that's a seasonal COP of 3.12 on the cold-climate unit fit for this climate. Puyallup needs the cold-climate class of unit: past a 25°F design temperature a standard heat pump falls back on resistance backup often enough to eat the savings. Source: NOAA station PIERCE COUNTY AIRPORT THUN FI, 5.2 miles from Puyallup — the closest one on record.
What it actually costs to run, year to year
A 2000-square-foot house here would pull roughly 3,950 heating kilowatt-hours annually on top of cooling, totalling about $591 a year on electricity. Puyallup's gas rate of 17.62 per Mcf, applied to the 51 Mcf a year the furnace burns, puts its running cost near $935 a year, against 14.27¢ per kWh for electricity. Priced as a standalone purchase rather than against a like-for-like replacement, equipment payback runs about 39.3 years, for a 15-year net position $1,657 ahead.
If your home heats with electric baseboard instead of gas
Plenty of homes in Puyallup heat with electricity alone, no gas line involved. Against electric-resistance heat — baseboard or an electric furnace, both 100% efficient but still just resistance — the case for switching gets stronger here. The saving here runs about $1,209 a year, which recovers the extra $8,000 spent going electric in roughly 6.6 years.
Puyallup against the rest of the country
Among 3206 cities, Puyallup's winter puts it at rank 884 for severity, while its size puts it at rank 971 for population — 1 in both cases being the extreme. That's the coldest third of the dataset, where climate does most of the work behind this figure.
Next step for 42,552 people in Puyallup
Puyallup, Washington is home to about 42,552 people, and the figures above are the same ones a local HVAC contractor uses to size and quote a system — this site doesn't guess where a real quote would land, it just tells you whether it's worth asking for one. In Puyallup, nothing is lost by holding off until the current equipment genuinely fails.
Ask a local HVAC contractor for a quote before committing either way.
Reading further on this page's numbers
The methodology guide walks through exactly how Puyallup's 3.12 seasonal COP and the rest of this page's numbers get built. Puyallup's 17.6°F design temperature falls on the cold side of the 25°F cutoff the cold-climate unit guide walks through.