Heat Pump Payback in Highland Park, IL
Highland Park, IL: the heat pump payback math
Here in Highland Park, the honest answer is that a heat pump raises your annual running cost. Against a like-for-like gas furnace and AC swap, going electric costs $5,500 more up front here. The heat pump would cost about $228 more a year to run than the furnace it replaces, a premium with no payback. There's no spin on that: Highland Park's numbers say wait.
Not the city you meant?
This runs the same numbers for 3206 US cities, not just Highland Park. Look one up here.
The climate behind Highland Park's payback figure
4991 heating degree days pile up here every year, so Highland Park has a real but manageable winter; the cooling side runs to 1020 cooling degree days, where summers are hot enough that cooling matters as much as heating. Sizing runs off the design temperature, not the average day: -0.9°F here (coldest 2024 reading -11°F), which works out to a seasonal COP of 2.68 for the cold-climate class of unit this climate calls for. A cold-climate unit is the right call in Highland Park, below 25°F design temperature, a standard heat pump leans hard on electric-resistance backup, which erases most of the savings. These numbers come from Palwaukee Municipal Airport, the closest NOAA station, 6.4 miles out.
What it actually costs to run, year to year
Modelled on a typical 2000-square-foot house, the heat pump draws about 4,716 kWh a year to keep it warm, plus cooling, for a combined electric bill near $1,065 a year. The gas furnace it replaces burns roughly 52 Mcf a year at $11.25 per Mcf here, for a running cost near $837 a year including the old AC (electricity here runs 19.06¢/kWh). With running costs higher every year, there is no payback at any purchase price; over 15 years, against a like-for-like replacement, a household here would end $8,917 behind.
What would change Highland Park's answer
The heat pump would become the cheaper option in Highland Park if electricity fell to 13.7¢/kWh (from 19.06¢) or gas rose above $15.63 per Mcf (from $11.25). At today's prices a cheaper quote cannot rescue the gas comparison in Highland Park, since there is no yearly saving to recover it from.
Electric resistance heat in Highland Park, compared
Gas isn't universal in Highland Park, many houses run on electric heat already. Compared with baseboard or electric-furnace resistance heat, the numbers shift in the heat pump’s favor. The saving here runs about $1,596 a year, which recovers the extra $10,000 spent going electric in roughly 6.3 years.
Where Highland Park ranks in this dataset
Among 3206 cities, Highland Park's winter puts it at rank 720 for severity, while its size puts it at rank 1324 for population, 1 in both cases being the extreme. That's the coldest third of the dataset, where climate does most of the work behind this figure.
Deciding what's next in Highland Park, IL
About 30,794 people live in Highland Park, Illinois, and every number on this page is what a contractor would actually work from when quoting a system here, the point isn't to replace that quote, it's to tell you whether to bother asking for one. Here, there's no cost penalty to waiting until your current furnace or AC actually needs replacing.
Line up a few local HVAC quotes before you decide.
Reading further on this page's numbers
The methodology guide walks through exactly how Highland Park's 2.68 seasonal COP and the rest of this page's numbers get built. Highland Park's -0.9°F design temperature falls on the cold side of the 25°F cutoff the cold-climate unit guide walks through.