Heat Pump Payback in Dyer, IN
Heat pump vs. gas furnace in Dyer, IN
Here in Dyer, the honest answer is that a heat pump raises your annual running cost. $5,500 is what Dyer would pay extra to go electric rather than replace the furnace and AC with the same again. Unfortunately the electric bill outweighs the gas bill it replaces by about $174 a year here, so the extra spend stays unrecovered. There's no spin on that: Dyer's numbers say wait.
Checking a different city
Dyer is one of 3206 cities covered here, each run through the same model. Search another below.
The climate behind Dyer's payback figure
Degree days tell the story here: Dyer racks up 4971 heating degree days each year (base 65°F), and summers add a moderate cooling load, with 864 cooling degree days on the cooling side. The 99% winter design temperature here, the cold snap equipment must be sized for, not the seasonal average, is -5.3°F, and the coldest daily reading in the 2024 station record was -10.7°F. That puts the seasonal coefficient of performance at 2.57 for the recommended cold-climate unit. Below the 25°F line where a standard machine starts leaning on resistance backup, Dyer sits firmly in cold-climate territory, so that's the class of unit priced here. Source: NOAA station Lansing Municipal AP, 3.1 miles from Dyer, the closest one on record.
What it actually costs to run, year to year
A 2000-square-foot house here would pull roughly 4,898 heating kilowatt-hours annually on top of cooling, totalling about $960 a year on electricity. The gas furnace it replaces burns roughly 52 Mcf a year at $11.49 per Mcf here, for a running cost near $786 a year including the old AC (electricity here runs 17.03¢/kWh). With running costs higher every year, there is no payback at any purchase price; over 15 years, against a like-for-like replacement, a household here would end $8,110 behind.
What would change Dyer's answer
The heat pump would become the cheaper option in Dyer if electricity fell to 13.2¢/kWh (from 17.03¢) or gas rose above $14.85 per Mcf (from $11.49). At today's prices a cheaper quote cannot rescue the gas comparison in Dyer, since there is no yearly saving to recover it from.
If your home heats with electric baseboard instead of gas
Gas isn't universal in Dyer, many houses run on electric heat already. Against electric-resistance heat, baseboard or an electric furnace, both 100% efficient but still just resistance, the case for switching gets stronger here. The saving here runs about $1,375 a year, which recovers the extra $10,000 spent going electric in roughly 7.3 years.
Where Dyer ranks in this dataset
Ranked against the other 3206 cities covered, Dyer comes in at 776 for heating severity, 1 would be the coldest place in the dataset, and 2263 by population, where 1 is largest. That's the coldest third of the dataset, where climate does most of the work behind this figure.
Deciding what's next in Dyer, IN
About 16,341 people live in Dyer, Indiana, and every number on this page is what a contractor would actually work from when quoting a system here, the point isn't to replace that quote, it's to tell you whether to bother asking for one. Here, there's no cost penalty to waiting until your current furnace or AC actually needs replacing.
Get quotes from local HVAC contractors before deciding.
Reading further on this page's numbers
Nothing above is a black box: the methodology guide shows the full arithmetic behind Dyer's 2.57 seasonal COP and payback figure. Dyer's -5.3°F design temperature falls on the cold side of the 25°F cutoff the cold-climate unit guide walks through.